FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Plaguebloom

Trade Goods · Herb · item 13466 · vendor 2s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor36s 98ccheapest 35s 78c
Median37sby quantity
Listed2,129136 listings
Sold / day424avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor15411%18%18%18%18%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 17 sales out of 156 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 27 postings (HHI 0.108, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 24% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 18:4937s59s 99c5

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Elixir of Brute Force Alchemy 2 3g 43s
Major Frenzy Potion Alchemy 3 2g 10s
Elixir of the Sages Alchemy 2 71s 85c
Major Discolored Healing Potion Alchemy 1 22s 96c
Elixir of the Mongoose Alchemy 2 −11s 90c
Potion of Beast Slaying Alchemy 2 −1g 54s
Purification Potion Alchemy 2 –
Mageblood Elixir Alchemy 2 –
Major Troll's Blood Elixir Alchemy 2 –
Elixir of the Mage-Lord Alchemy 2 –
Potion of Venomous Blood Alchemy 2 –

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