FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Mountain Silversage

Trade Goods · Herb · item 13465 · vendor 1s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor17s 69ccheapest 16s 94c
Median17s 98cby quantity
Listed3,250201 listings
Sold / day167avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor17811%11%11%11%11%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 14 sales out of 181 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 12% of listed quantity across 41 postings (HHI 0.064, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 24% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:4917s 98c24s 98c2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Flask of Petrification Alchemy 10 44g 32s
Flask of Supreme Power Alchemy 10 23g 45s
Seed Hybridizer Herbalism 4 8g 62s
Greater Arcane Elixir Alchemy 1 3g 91s
Elixir of the Owl Alchemy 2 2g 24s
Major Spellblasting Potion Alchemy 1 1g 20s
Sage's Tea Cooking 2 52s 8c
Dragonfire Potion Alchemy 2 26s 80c
Elixir of the Mongoose Alchemy 2 −11s 78c
Flask of Chromatic Resistance Alchemy 10 –
Living Action Potion Alchemy 2 –
Elixir of the Honey Badger Alchemy 2 –
Flask of Natural Aggression Alchemy 6 –

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