Trade Goods · Herb · item 13465 · vendor 1s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 178 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 14 sales out of 181 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 12% of listed quantity across 41 postings (HHI 0.064, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 24% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 17s 98c | 24s 98c | 2 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 44g 32s | |
| 10 | 23g 45s | |
| 4 | 8g 62s | |
| 1 | 3g 91s | |
| 2 | 2g 24s | |
| 1 | 1g 20s | |
| 2 | 52s 8c | |
| 2 | 26s 80c | |
| 2 | −11s 78c | |
| 10 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 6 | – |
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