Essence of Undeath
Trade Goods · Elemental · item 12808 · vendor 10s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 119 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 123 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 15% of listed quantity across 30 postings (HHI 0.063, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 42% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 33s 99c | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 34s | 45s 97c | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Essence of Water 3g 97s
Materials 3g 97s → sells for 35s 11c: −3g 62s per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Felcloth Gloves Tailoring |
8 | 114g |
 Robe of Winter Night Tailoring |
4 | 43g 64s |
| Transmute: Undeath to Water Alchemy |
1 | 3g 41s |
 Gnomish Death Ray Engineering |
1 | – |
 Corruption Blacksmithing |
8 | – |
 Annihilator Blacksmithing |
10 | – |
 Robe of the Void Tailoring |
8 | – |
 Ultra-Flash Shadow Reflector Engineering |
4 | – |
 Persuader Blacksmithing |
20 | – |
 Desecration Blacksmithing |
8 | – |
 Crimson Dawnwoven Bag Tailoring |
2 | – |
 Frozen Heart of the Mountain Enchanting |
1 | – |
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