Trade Goods · Leather · item 7392 · vendor 2s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 66 | 6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| over +30% | 21 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 87 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 23% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.126, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 27c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 17c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 95c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 98c | 11s 93c | 6 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 90c | 15s | 5 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 98c | 15s | 11 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 98c | 19s 30c | 6 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 9s 45c | 19s 30c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 98c | 19s 30c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 7s 95c | 19s 30c | 2 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | −9s 54c | |
| 6 | −24s 7c |
Sign in to set alerts.