FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Green Whelp Scale

Trade Goods · Leather · item 7392 · vendor 2s

no demand model yet
Floor10s 89ccheapest 10s 88c
Median10s 99cby quantity
Listed39766 listings
Sold / day88avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor666%11%11%11%11%
over +30%210%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 87 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 23% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.126, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 27c11s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 17c11s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:497s 95c11s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:497s 98c11s 93c6
Sat 14 Nov 14:498s 90c15s5
Sat 14 Nov 14:497s 98c15s11
Sat 14 Nov 14:497s 98c19s 30c6
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 45c19s 30c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:497s 98c19s 30c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:497s 95c19s 30c2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Green Whelp Armor Leatherworking 4 −9s 54c
Green Whelp Bracers Leatherworking 6 −24s 7c

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