FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Breath of Wind

Trade Goods · Elemental · item 7081 · vendor 4s

no demand model yet
Floor10scheapest 10s
Median10sby quantity
Listed285131 listings
Sold / day37avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1208%13%13%13%13%
over +30%50%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 127 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 23 postings (HHI 0.184, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 70% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:4910s18s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4910s14s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4910s18s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Phantom Blade Blacksmithing 6 17g 16s
Truesilver Champion Blacksmithing 4 –

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