Trade Goods · Elemental · item 7079 · vendor 4s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 195 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 195 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 15% of listed quantity across 40 postings (HHI 0.079, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 46% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 10g 94s | |
| 2 | 2g 18s | |
| 2 | 1g 43s | |
| 6 | 1g 12s | |
| 2 | −20s 15c | |
| 4 | −48s 25c | |
| 3 | – | |
| 6 | – | |
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| 2 | – | |
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| 8 | – | |
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| 12 | – | |
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| 12 | – |
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