FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Orange Dye

Trade Goods · Other · item 6261 · vendor 2s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor16scheapest 15s
Median50sby quantity
Listed15923 listings
Sold / day–avg of last 0 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor180%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 18 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 50% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.292, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 47% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Tooled Leather Gauntlets Leatherworking 1 76s 26c
Tooled Leather Bracers Leatherworking 1 56s 31c
Orange Martial Shirt Tailoring 2 18s 15c
Orange Mageweave Shirt Tailoring 1 −47s 67c
Tooled Leather Boots Leatherworking 1 −48s 71c
Tooled Leather Belt Leatherworking 1 −68s 65c
Tooled Leather Crown Leatherworking 1 −92s 77c
Tooled Leather Pants Leatherworking 1 –
Tooled Leather Epaulets Leatherworking 1 –
Tooled Leather Armor Leatherworking 3 –

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