Shadow Protection Potion
Consumable · Potions · item 6048 · vendor 1s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 74 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| over +30% | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 82 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 18 postings (HHI 0.119, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 21% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 4s 74c | 17s 75c | 5 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 4s 75c | 17s 75c | 2 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Grave Moss 5s 76c, 1× 
Kingsblood 1s 17c, 1× 
Leaded Vial 50c
Materials 7s 43c → sells for 16s 13c: 8s 70c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Hands of Darkness Tailoring |
2 | −32s 34c |
 Boots of Darkness Tailoring |
1 | – |
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