Consumable · Potions · item 5633 · vendor 1s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 77 | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 78 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 21% of listed quantity across 24 postings (HHI 0.111, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Alchemy: 1×
Large Fang 1s 5c, 1×
Kingsblood 1s 17c, 1×
Leaded Vial 50c
Materials 2s 72c → sells for 3s 5c: 33c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2s 12c |
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