FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Great Rage Potion

Consumable · Potions · item 5633 · vendor 1s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor3s 22ccheapest 3s 14c
Median3s 68cby quantity
Listed1,65996 listings
Sold / day65avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor7716%16%16%16%16%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 78 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 21% of listed quantity across 24 postings (HHI 0.111, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Alchemy: 1× Large Fang 1s 5c, 1× Kingsblood 1s 17c, 1× Leaded Vial 50c

Materials 2s 72c → sells for 3s 5c: 33c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Barbaric Belt Leatherworking 1 2s 12c

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