FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Tin Bar

Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 3576 · vendor 35c

no demand model yet

Floor1s 22ccheapest 1s 17c

Median1s 29cby quantity

Listed6,805320 listings

Sold / day260avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%over +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	352	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%
floor to +10%	6	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
over +30%	5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 11 sales out of 365 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 10% of listed quantity across 51 postings (HHI 0.051, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 22% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	1s 21c	21s	20
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	1s 21c	21s	20
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	1s 21c	2s 25c	20

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Mining: 1× Tin Ore 1s 14c

Materials 1s 14c → sells for 1s 15c: 1c per craft

Can craft it: Didgood, Holy

Used to make

Recipe	Needs	Profit
Smelt Bronze Mining	1	42c