Elixir of Lesser Defense
Consumable · Elixirs · item 3389 · vendor 40c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 45 | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 15 sales out of 45 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 31% of listed quantity across 14 postings (HHI 0.172, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 78% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Wild Steelbloom 1s 5c, 1× 
Stranglekelp 3s 34c, 1× 
Leaded Vial 50c
Materials 4s 89c → sells for 4s 20c: −69c per craft
Can craft it: Mister
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Toughened Leather Gloves Leatherworking |
2 | −6s 53c |
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