FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Burnished Gloves

Armor · Mail · item 2992 · vendor 4s 8c

no demand model yet
Floor7scheapest 7s
Median7s 44cby quantity
Listed1818 listings
Sold / day5avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor80%0%0%0%0%
over +30%1010%10%10%10%10%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 20 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 28% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.167, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s7s 44c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:497s12s 44c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s12s 44c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s7s 44c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s7s 44c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s7s 57c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s7s 57c1
Sat 14 Nov 15:497s10s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:495s10s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:497s10s1

Recipe links

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