Fermenter
Consumable · Other · item 279970
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 69 | 7% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 69 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 21% of listed quantity across 11 postings (HHI 0.138, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 21% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Leaded Vial 55c, 1× 
Kingsblood 1s 16c, 1× 
Swiftthistle 9s 78c
Materials 11s 49c → sells for 12s 52c: 1s 3c per craft
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