Green Hills of Stranglethorn - Page 20
Quest · Quest · item 2744 · vendor 3s 75c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 431 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| over +30% | 137 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 571 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 44 postings (HHI 0.061, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 54% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 8s 99c | 31s 90c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 20s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 70c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 69c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 69c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 50c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 50c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 50c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 50c | 11s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 8s 40c | 11s | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
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