FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

SAF-T Dynamite

Consumable · Explosives · item 260792 · vendor 75c

no demand model yet

Floor1s 14ccheapest 1s 9c

Median1s 15cby quantity

Listed59011 listings

Sold / day324avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor+10% to +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	25	9%	41%	41%	41%	41%
+10% to +30%	5	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 31 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 33% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.251, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 43% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Rough Blasting Powder 15c, 1× Linen Cloth 24c

Materials 54c → sells for 1s 8c: 54c per craft