Elixir of Spirit
Consumable · Elixirs · item 250346 · vendor 75c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 38 | 16% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| floor to +10% | 6 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 46 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 44% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.248, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 80% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 3× 
Khadgar's Whisker 3s 28c, 1× 
Kingsblood 1s, 1× 
Leaded Vial 59c
Materials 11s 43c → sells for 17s 61c: 6s 18c per craft
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