Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 249726 · vendor 30s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 85 | 1% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 90 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 57% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.362, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 62% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 19:49 | 70s | 89s | 4 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Mining: 2×
Pitchblende 33s 31c, 1×
Coal 10s
Materials 76s 62c → sells for 83s 60c: 6s 98c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 27g 22s | |
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