FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Sandworm Meat

Trade Goods · Cooking · item 20424 · vendor 1s 75c

no demand model yet
Floor12s 89ccheapest 12s
Median12s 89cby quantity
Listed32763 listings
Sold / day104avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor734%4%4%4%4%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 74 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 34% of listed quantity across 11 postings (HHI 0.182, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 44% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:4912s 90c18s 62c10

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Smoked Desert Dumplings Cooking 1 32s 66c

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