FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Delicate Arcanite Converter

Trade Goods · Parts · item 16006 · vendor 1g

no demand model yet
Floor84g 47scheapest 84g 46s
Median84g 47sby quantity
Listed1713 listings
Sold / day2avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor180%25%25%25%25%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 18 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 35% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.253, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 35% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Arcanite Bar 58g 99s, 1× Ironweb Spider Silk 42s 93c

Materials 59g 42s → sells for 80g 25s: 20g 82s per craft

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