Armor · Cloth · item 14114 · vendor 2s 42c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| over +30% | 14 | 35% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 18 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 10% of listed quantity across 26 postings (HHI 0.051, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 3s 70c | 8s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 70c | 8s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 70c | 8s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 18s | 49s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 17s 99c | 49s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 3s 70c | 49s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 70c | 49s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 70c | 49s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 3s 70c | 5s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 70c | 5s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
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