FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Raw Glossy Mightfish

Trade Goods · Cooking · item 13754 · vendor 6c

no demand model yet
Floor3s 32ccheapest 3s 27c
Median5s 5cby quantity
Listed3,400244 listings
Sold / day143avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1608%8%8%8%8%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 163 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 12% of listed quantity across 53 postings (HHI 0.048, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 28% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 39c3s 28c20
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 39c3s 28c16
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 39c3s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 38c3s 28c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 38c3s 29c2
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 38c3s 29c3
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 39c3s 29c20
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 39c3s 29c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 38c3s 29c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:492s 38c3s 30c2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Cooked Glossy Mightfish Cooking 1 1s 25c

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