Trade Goods · Cooking · item 13754 · vendor 6c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 160 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 163 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 12% of listed quantity across 53 postings (HHI 0.048, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 28% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 39c | 3s 28c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 39c | 3s 28c | 16 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 39c | 3s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 38c | 3s 28c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 38c | 3s 29c | 2 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 38c | 3s 29c | 3 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 39c | 3s 29c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 39c | 3s 29c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 38c | 3s 29c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 38c | 3s 30c | 2 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1s 25c |
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