FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Icecap

Trade Goods · Herb · item 13467 · vendor 2s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor17s 82ccheapest 17s 44c
Median17s 99cby quantity
Listed1,673154 listings
Sold / day297avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1932%2%2%2%2%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 193 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 26 postings (HHI 0.075, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 22% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Major Mana Potion Alchemy 2 −19s 69c
Purification Potion Alchemy 2 –
Flask of Distilled Wisdom Alchemy 10 –
Flask of Chromatic Resistance Alchemy 30 –
Gyrofreeze Ice Reflector Engineering 4 –
Living Action Potion Alchemy 2 –
Elixir of the Ironside Alchemy 2 –
Flask of Natural Swiftness Alchemy 6 –

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