Trade Goods · Leather · item 12810 · vendor 5s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 8 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 8 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 50% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.362, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 50% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Enchanting: 1×
Rugged Leather 16s 77c, 1×
Lesser Eternal Essence 70s 87c
Materials 87s 64c → sells for 1g: 12s 45c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 128g | |
| 6 | 48g 23s | |
| 2 | 10g 51s | |
| 4 | 3g 73s | |
| 2 | −3g 93s | |
| 12 | −4g 69s | |
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