FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Guardian Stone

Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 12809 · vendor 1g

no demand model yet
Floor3g 99scheapest 3g 99s
Median4g 70sby quantity
Listed12350 listings
Sold / day8avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor5128%28%28%28%28%
floor to +10%50%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 56 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 28% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.173, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Hammer of the Titans Blacksmithing 4 –
Cloak of Warding Tailoring 4 –
Shifting Cloak Leatherworking 8 –
Blackguard Blacksmithing 12 –
Argent Boots Tailoring 2 –
Argent Shoulders Tailoring 2 –
Dawn Treaders Leatherworking 2 –
Golden Mantle of the Dawn Leatherworking 4 –
Obsidian Mail Tunic Blacksmithing 10 –
Mastercrafted Shifting Cloak Leatherworking 8 –
Obsidian Mail Tunic Blacksmithing 10 –
Dawn Armor Leatherworking 10 –

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