FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Powerful Mojo

Trade Goods · Other · item 12804 · vendor 20s

no demand model yet
Floor3g 35scheapest 3g 35s
Median3g 40sby quantity
Listed9068 listings
Sold / day44avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor9826%26%26%26%26%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 18 sales out of 102 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 22% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.157, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 22% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s2
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s2
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s2
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s2
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s1
Sat 14 Nov 15:492g 50s3g 44s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Might of the Timbermaw Leatherworking 2 −15s 26c
Timbermaw Tunic Leatherworking 20 −137g
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Serenity Blacksmithing 4 –
Darkspear Blacksmithing 20 –
Girdle of Insight Leatherworking 12 –
Timbermaw Brawlers Leatherworking 6 –
Bloodvine Leggings Tailoring 4 –
Bloodvine Vest Tailoring 4 –
Gurubashi Mojo Madness Alchemy 6 –
Bloodvine Goggles Engineering 8 –
Bloodvine Lens Engineering 8 –
Girdle of Arcane Insight Leatherworking 12 –
Tranquility Blacksmithing 4 –
Finely-Enchanted Battlehammer Blacksmithing 4 –

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