Large Opal
Trade Goods · Other · item 12799 · vendor 70s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 77 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| floor to +10% | 16 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 93 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 31% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.185, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 31% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Stronghold Gauntlets Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Enchanted Thorium Helm Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Bleakwood Hew Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Ornate Thorium Handaxe Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Rune Edge Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Serenity Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Arcanite Champion Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Masterwork Stormhammer Blacksmithing |
8 | – |
 Heartseeker Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Dark Iron Rifle Engineering |
2 | – |
 Voice Amplification Modulator Engineering |
1 | – |
 Ultra-Flash Shadow Reflector Engineering |
2 | – |
 Darksoul Breastplate Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Darksoul Leggings Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Darksoul Shoulders Blacksmithing |
1 | – |
 Deadly Heartseeker Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Tranquility Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Stronger-hold Gauntlets Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Warcrest of the Great Chief Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Helm of the Great Chief Leatherworking |
6 | – |
Alerts for this item
Sign in to set alerts.