Trade Goods · Other · item 12364 · vendor 1g
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 206 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 208 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 35 postings (HHI 0.058, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 79% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1g 54s | 6g 97s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4g 38s | |
| 1 | −8g 85s | |
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