Armor · Miscellaneous · item 12028 · vendor 40s 7c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 13 | 22% | 61% | 61% | 61% | 61% |
| +10% to +30% | 6 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| over +30% | 68 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 89 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 4% of listed quantity across 89 postings (HHI 0.015, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 27% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 60s | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 44s | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g 25s | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 99s 95c | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 99s | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 97s | 2g 22s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1g | 1g 48s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 99s 95c | 1g 48s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 99s | 1g 48s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
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