FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Basalt Necklace

Armor · Miscellaneous · item 12028 · vendor 40s 7c

no demand model yet
Floor1g 19scheapest 99s
Median1g 98sby quantity
Listed138138 listings
Sold / day17avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor+10% to +30%over +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1322%61%61%61%61%
+10% to +30%650%50%50%50%50%
over +30%685%5%5%5%5%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 89 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 4% of listed quantity across 89 postings (HHI 0.015, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 27% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 60s2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 44s2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g 25s2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4999s 95c2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4999s2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4997s2g 22s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:491g1g 48s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4999s 95c1g 48s1
Sat 14 Nov 16:4999s1g 48s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Alerts for this item

Sign in to set alerts.