FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Dark Iron Bar

Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 11371 · vendor 6s

no demand model yet
Floor4g 97scheapest 4g 97s
Median4g 97sby quantity
Listed807 listings
Sold / day70avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor110%57%57%57%57%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 11 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 48% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.318, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 48% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Mining: 8× Dark Iron Ore 14s

Materials 1g 12s → sells for 4g 72s: 3g 60s per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Dark Iron Plate Blacksmithing 20 –
Dark Iron Mail Blacksmithing 10 –
Dark Iron Pulverizer Blacksmithing 18 –
Dark Iron Sunderer Blacksmithing 26 –
Dark Iron Shoulders Blacksmithing 6 –
Dark Iron Rifle Engineering 6 –
Dark Iron Bomb Engineering 1 –
Dark Iron Bracers Blacksmithing 4 –
Fiery Chain Girdle Blacksmithing 6 –
Dark Iron Leggings Blacksmithing 16 –
Fiery Chain Shoulders Blacksmithing 16 –
Dark Iron Destroyer Blacksmithing 18 –
Dark Iron Reaver Blacksmithing 16 –
Sulfuron Hammer Blacksmithing 20 –
Biznicks 247x128 Accurascope Engineering 6 –
Hyper-Radiant Flame Reflector Engineering 4 –
Ultra-Flash Shadow Reflector Engineering 8 –
Dark Iron Helm Blacksmithing 4 –
Dark Iron Gauntlets Blacksmithing 4 –
Black Amnesty Blacksmithing 4 –
Blackfury Blacksmithing 6 –
Ebon Hand Blacksmithing 8 –
Blackguard Blacksmithing 6 –
Nightfall Blacksmithing 12 –
Dark Iron Boots Blacksmithing 6 –

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