FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.0 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Sharp Claw

Trade Goods · Other · item 5635 · vendor 45c

no demand model yet
Floor57ccheapest 55c
Median1sby quantity
Listed1,601689 listings
Sold / day138avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1330%0%0%0%0%
floor to +10%630%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 197 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 6% of listed quantity across 64 postings (HHI 0.03, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 34% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:4970c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4970c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4970c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4970c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4970c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4970c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4969c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4968c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4965c1s 68c2
Sat 14 Nov 14:4965c1s 68c2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.