FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.0 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Deadly Blunderbuss

Weapon · Gun · item 4369 · vendor 7s 90c

no demand model yet
Floor27s 5ccheapest 26s 5c
Median27s 10cby quantity
Listed472472 listings
Sold / day1avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%over +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor610%0%0%0%0%
floor to +10%130%0%0%0%0%
over +30%150%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 89 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 27% of listed quantity across 29 postings (HHI 0.135, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c39s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c39s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:4927s 5c44s 99c1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.