FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.0 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Spider's Silk

Trade Goods · Cloth · item 3182 · vendor 3s 87c

no demand model yet
Floor8s 97ccheapest 7s 55c
Median9s 68cby quantity
Listed579245 listings
Sold / day9avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1260%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 130 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 16% of listed quantity across 35 postings (HHI 0.075, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 42% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c13s3
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c13s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c13s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c13s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c13s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c15s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c15s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c15s1
Sat 14 Nov 14:499s 68c15s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.